Andrew Duff -  On Governing Europe

Archives for Future of Europe

Running Commentary XII

The British election There is to be a Brexit general election in the United Kingdom on Thursday 8 June. Short of a revolution, the winner will be the Conservative party, and Theresa May will continue as prime minister. In calling – and winning – the election, Theresa May will entrench Brexit. Quite fairly, she has… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

Running Commentary X

A new entente The big Brexit picture is that the UK continues to stumble towards a future association agreement with the EU. Until Article 50 is triggered there will be no official recognition by the EU of this scenario, and the Westminster parliament has yet to get its head(s) around the concept. But experts are… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

Running Commentary V

There will be times when running commentary on Brexit has to break out from a trot into a sprint. This week is one of those. The resignation of Sir Ivan Rogers as UK Permanent Representative to the EU has been widely reported. People seem more surprised than they should have been. It is not news… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

Mercifully, the party political conference season in Britain is over. We would not normally pay too much attention to the resolutions on EU policy passed by party rank and file delegates. But this year, because Britain has taken back control of its own affairs, it’s worth taking a closer look. The Liberal Democrats were first… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

For the moment, attention is focussed on the future trade relationship between the UK and the EU. Given that Brexit means Brexit, as Theresa May lucidly puts it, British negotiating options boil down to three: (1) to try for access to the single market via the European Economic Area, like Norway; (2) to fall back… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

As no member state has ever left the European Union, there is no useful precedent for the process of British withdrawal under Article 50 TEU. There are, however, several association treaties between the EU and third countries which may offer guidance as the UK seeks to define a new settlement with the EU once its… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

As the British referendum looms, a false sense of expectation is spreading in Brussels. Some wishful thinking is excusable: Britain’s partners have grown tired of having to tolerate David Cameron’s general contempt for the European Union and of circumnavigating his efforts to salvage the synthetic unity of his Conservative party. The opinion polls show a… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

This article argues that the UK government’s renegotiation bid is too feeble to be deserving of concessions by its EU partners, but that the rest of the EU can give the British what they seem to want by pressing on themselves to federal union. Is David Cameron really serious about renegotiating the terms of the… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

While a lot of people, many of them prime ministers, grumble about the need to ‘reform’ the European Union, no European leader has yet been moved to elaborate on why, what and how to reform. Even David Cameron gropes to give substance to his grumbling: most of what he needs to stem the migrant tide… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff