Andrew Duff -  On Governing Europe

Archives for Future of Europe

Every Commission must be judged on how far it has been able to deepen the polity of the Union and widen the scope of European integration. The outgoing college of Jean-Claude Juncker has not had many big successes on that score. There has been no enlargement, no treaty change, and only a stuttering effort at… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

Running Commentary XXI

Towards the political declaration The European Council (22-23 March) has to assess the strategic impact of Brexit on the future of Europe. Although the heads of government have followed the Brexit saga, initially with regret turning increasingly to alarm, it is the Commission’s Task Force 50 under Michel Barnier that has done the heavy lifting.… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

Running Commentary XII

The British election There is to be a Brexit general election in the United Kingdom on Thursday 8 June. Short of a revolution, the winner will be the Conservative party, and Theresa May will continue as prime minister. In calling – and winning – the election, Theresa May will entrench Brexit. Quite fairly, she has… » read more

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Running Commentary X

A new entente The big Brexit picture is that the UK continues to stumble towards a future association agreement with the EU. Until Article 50 is triggered there will be no official recognition by the EU of this scenario, and the Westminster parliament has yet to get its head(s) around the concept. But experts are… » read more

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Running Commentary V

There will be times when running commentary on Brexit has to break out from a trot into a sprint. This week is one of those. The resignation of Sir Ivan Rogers as UK Permanent Representative to the EU has been widely reported. People seem more surprised than they should have been. It is not news… » read more

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Mercifully, the party political conference season in Britain is over. We would not normally pay too much attention to the resolutions on EU policy passed by party rank and file delegates. But this year, because Britain has taken back control of its own affairs, it’s worth taking a closer look. The Liberal Democrats were first… » read more

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For the moment, attention is focussed on the future trade relationship between the UK and the EU. Given that Brexit means Brexit, as Theresa May lucidly puts it, British negotiating options boil down to three: (1) to try for access to the single market via the European Economic Area, like Norway; (2) to fall back… » read more

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As no member state has ever left the European Union, there is no useful precedent for the process of British withdrawal under Article 50 TEU. There are, however, several association treaties between the EU and third countries which may offer guidance as the UK seeks to define a new settlement with the EU once its… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff

As the British referendum looms, a false sense of expectation is spreading in Brussels. Some wishful thinking is excusable: Britain’s partners have grown tired of having to tolerate David Cameron’s general contempt for the European Union and of circumnavigating his efforts to salvage the synthetic unity of his Conservative party. The opinion polls show a… » read more

Posted by Andrew Duff